Owing to erratic monsoons this year, the kharif grain output is projected to fall 18 per cent to a seven-year low of 96.63 million tonnes against last year's 117.70 million tonnes.
Export orders generally begin in August and continue till October-end. Ready jewellery items are delivered within 45 days from the date of booking.
Essential items are 65 per cent costlier than last year; traders blame it on higher MSP, confusion in govt.
China to remain the largest market, say analysts.
Lack of moisture in fields leads to less output.
Once bitten, twice shy, the laid-off workers, many of whom had switched to sectors like textile and agriculture, are apprehensive about returning to diamond processing. Before Diwali last year, there were about 3,000 diamond cutting and polishing units with a 600,000-strong workforce.
Investors, speculators, hedgers and consumers who sold their gold stocks to partly set off losses in the financial markets will start replenishing within six to eight months, says Ajay Mitra, managing director - Indian sub-continent, World Gold Council.
According to Ketan Shroff of Pushpak Bullions Pvt Ltd, "Traders are selling at Rs 14,900 -- 14,950 per 10 gm presently, which was Rs 100-150 lower than the landed cost." He added, "The consumer price depends upon customers' needs as some in dire need of money sell at prices lesser than Rs 14,900 per 10 gm while others attract customers through price negotiations."
Gold is back in favour with consumers shifting their focus on the precious metal on the back of moderation in prices.
Stung by the steep fall in demand for the yellow metal in the world's largest consumer nation, the World Gold Council is now falling back on the familiar marketing mantra: If customers aren't coming, go to their doorsteps. The reason for the marketing overdrive by the Indian arm of the WGC is simple: India, which used to import around 60 tonnes of gold a month till last year, has seen zero imports in the past two months because of the prevailing high prices.
The corporation, christened MCX Clearing Corporation, is likely to start functioning next month. So far, the exchange's clearing activities are controlled by an integrated clearing house which remains a function of the exchange platform.
Gold purchases by India, the world's largest importer of the metal, are down to a trickle because of high prices, prompting local traders and jewellers to reprocess scrap and jewellery to cater to rapidly falling local demand.
The US market, which contributes about 75 per cent of India's jewellery exports alone, has recorded reduced orders, which have dipped by over 50 per cent because of economic slowdown. If the trend continues, gems and jewellery exports would nosedive almost at the current rate," said Vasant Mehta, chairman, Gems and Jewellery Export Promotion Council in the sideline of a conference on Tuesday in Mumbai.
The move will allow regional bourses to demutualise and go national. Currently, there are three national and 19 regional commodity exchanges in India. FMC is likely to finalise the norms for demutualisation and upgrade of regional exchanges in the next fortnight. The regulator may grant the regional exchanges a period of 3-5 years to raise their networth to Rs 100 crore.
Two major steel producers Tata Steel and SAIL, however, have maintained their prices according to their commitment to the government. But according to market sources, value-added products continued to remain out of the price control purview, resulting into frequent price hikes of products like blooms, power channels and other high-tensile steel products, which are import substitutes.
According to industry estimates, 5 per cent of India's total gold consumption of about 750 tonnes is sold on this auspicious day alone. This year, too, customer's attraction towards gold is likely to continue despite high prices.
More interest rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve to protect its slowing economy are likely to strengthen gold prices further with the metal being a safe haven for investors having offered handsome returns in the last year-and-a-half.
The country's Rs 60,000-crore (Rs 600-billion) diamond industry is likely to lay off 200,000 workers this year and with it the dream of making India a processing hub, according to Sanjay Kothari, chairman, Gems & Jewellery Exports Promotion Council, if the government does not frame favourable policies.
Gold hits Rs.11,360, thanks to rate cuts by US Fed Bank and a languishing dollar.
Ravindra Chauhan, a regular commodity investor, is now regretting his decision to invest in gold, which fetched him only 6.08 per cent in the last one year because of a stronger rupee. He says that most banks' fixed deposits would have made him richer by at least 9 per cent during the same period with little holding risk.
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